Saturday, September 13, 2014

What does the NY21 poll REALLY say?

A recent 7 News - Siena poll shows Elise Stefanik with a comfortable lead over her Democratic opponent, but what does the poll really say? 

A majority of both Democrats and Republicans polled support: 


"...comprehensive Immigration Reform that would include a pathway to citizenship for those already here as well increased border security" 



"...the Buffet Rule which would apply a minimum income tax rate of 30 percent on individuals making more than a million dollars a year"

A "limit the number of terms for members of both houses of Congress"

"...legislation that would change the federal minimum wage from $7.25 per hour to $10.10 per hour"

"On a lot of these issues, there are not big differences between democrats and republicans," said Steve Greenberg, Siena Research Institute.



If the election were held tomorrow, 46% of those surveyed would vote for Elise Stefanik (pictured below - source: AP)

Only 33% would vote for Democrat, Aaron Woolf (below - source: AP)

Perhaps most interestingly, Green Party candidate Matt Funiciello garners 10% 

Despite running two businesses and working 50 hours a week, Mr. Funiciello has built an impressive grassroots campaign and earned unusually high poll numbers for a third party candidate. There is a movement afoot led by some St. Lawrence County residents to urge Mr. Woolf to vacate the ballot and endorse Mr. Funiciello. Many in the district see both major party candidates as outsiders to the district, but given North Country aversion to New York City politicians there is a particularly pronounced angst aimed at multi-millionaire Aaron Woolf due to his longtime NYC residency and political connections to Assembly Speaker Silver






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